Risk and Safety Analysis of Nuclear Systems (PDF)

Preface. 1 Risk and safety of engineered systems. 1.1 Risk and its perception and acceptance. 1.2 Overview of risk and safety analysis. 1.3 Two historical reactor accidents. 1.4 Definition of risk. 1.5 Reliability, availability, maintainability, and safety. 1.6 Organization of the book. 2 Probabilities of events. 2.1 Events. 2.2 Even tree analysis and minimal cut sets. 2.3 Probabilities. 2.4 Time-independent versus time-dependent probabilities. 2.5 Time-independent probabilities. 2.6 Normal distribution. 2.7 Reliability functions. 2.8 Time-dependent probability distributions. 2.9 Extreme-value probability distributions. 2.10 Probability models for failure analyses. Exercises. 3 Reliability data. 3.1 Estimation theory. 3.2 Bayesian updating of data. 3.3 Central limit theorem and hypothesis testing. 3.4 Reliability quantification. Exercises. 4 Reliability of multiple-component systems. 4.1 Series and active-parallel systems. 4.2 Systems with standby components. 4.3 Decomposition analysis. 4.4 Signal flow graph analysis. 4.5 Cut set analysis. Exercises. 5 Availability and reliability of systems with repair. 5.1 Introduction. 5.2 Markov method. 5.3 Availability analyses. 5.4 Reliability analyses. 5.5 Additional capabilities of Markov models. Exercises. 6 Probabilistic risk assessment. 6.1 Failure modes. 6.2 Classification of failure events. 6.3 Failure data. 6.4 Combination of failures and consequences. 6.5 Fault tree analysis. 6.6 Master logic diagram. 6.7 Uncertainty and importance analysis. Exercises. 7 PRA computer programs. 7.1 Fault tree methodology of the SAPHIRE code. 7.2 Fault and event reevaluation with the SAPHIRE code. 7.3 Other features of the SAPHIRE code. 7.4 Other PRA codes. 7.5 Binary decision diagram algorithm. Exercises. 8 Nuclear power plant safety analysis. 8.1 Engineered safety features of nuclear plants. 8.2 Accident classification and general design goals. 8.3 Design basis accident: large break LOCA. 8.4 Severe (Class 9) accidents. 8.5

JOHN C. LEE, PhD, has been Professor of Nuclear Engineering at the University of Michigan since 1974, following five years of employment at Westinghouse Electric Corporation and General Electric Company. He has written for approximately 180 publications on broad areas of nuclear reactor physics and engineering, including nuclear systems analysis and diagnostics. Dr. Lee is a Fellow of the American Nuclear Society.

NORMAN J. McCORMICK, PhD, is an emeritus professor of mechanical engineering at the University of Washington who retired in 2003. From 1966 until the early 1990s, he was a professor of nuclear engineering. Dr. McCormick is the author of the book Reliability and Risk Analysis Methods and Nuclear Power Applications (upon which part of NERS 462 is based) and has authored approximately 150 journal articles. He is a Fellow of the American Nuclear Society.

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