Adapting to an Uncertain Climate

1. Introduction to the Use of Uncertainties to Inform Adaptation Decisions.- 1.1 Why Is Guidance on the Role of Uncertainty Needed and Who Is It For?- 1.2 Why Is It Important to Include Uncertainties in Adaptation Planning?- 1.3 What Information Is Included in This Book and Where Can I Find It?- 1.4 How Can This Publication Be Used?- Suggested Readings.- 2. Background On Uncertainty Assessment Supporting Climate Adaptation Decision-Making.- 2.1 Introduction.- 2.2 Uncertainties in Climate Change.- 2.3 Uncertainty Typology.- 2.4 Methods of Assessing Uncertainty.- 2.5 Decision-Making Frameworks Under Climate Change Uncertainty.- 2.6 Using Uncertainty Assessment in Decision-Making Practice On Climate Adaptation.- 2.7 Cases, Types of Uncertainty, and Methods As Used in Chapter 4.- 2.8 Communicating Uncertainty Assessment To Policy-Makers and Decision-Makers.- 2.9 Conclusions.- 3. How Is Uncertainty Addressed in the Knowledge Base For National Adaptation Planning?- 3.1 Introduction.- 3.2 Overview of National Adaptation Activities.- 3.3 Consideration of Uncertainty in the Knowledge Base For Adaptation.- 3.4 Conclusions.- 4. Showcasing Practitioners' Experiences.- 4.1 Introduction.- 4.2 Real Life Case Studies.- 5. Making Adaptation Decisions Under Uncertainty - Lessons From Theory And Practice.- 5.1 Introduction.- 5.2 A New Support Framework For Adaptation Decisions Under Uncertainty.- 5.3 What Has Practice Shown Us?- 5.4 Dealing With Uncertainty in Adaptation Decision-Making.- 5.5 Guidance and Recommendations.- 5.6 Final Remarks.- Index.

This book successfully reframes uncertainty as a normal part of decision-making. It provides policy developers and advisors, researchers, and practitioners with a valuable framework within which uncertainty can be recognized, communicated, and incorporated into adaptation planning. ... Overall, Adapting to an Uncertain Climate will be a useful resource for anyone involved in the emerging field of adaptation ... ." (R. M. B. Harris, The Quarterly Review of Biology, Vol. 91 (1), March, 2016)